Bloomberg: Wind turbine prices fall to their lowest in recent years

Prices have dipped below €1m per MW for the first time since 2005, according to the latest edition of Bloomberg New Energy Finance's Wind Turbine Price Index.

Increasing scale, improved efficiency and over-capacity among wind energy hardware manufacturers have combined to push the average price of onshore wind turbines below €1m($1.36m) per megawatt.

The fourth issue of  Bloomberg New Energy Finance’s  Wind Turbine Price Index  shows that fierce downward pressure on prices has continued in recent months in all parts of the world. Bloomberg New Energy Finance analyzed confidential data  provided by  28  major purchasers of wind  turbines. The sample includes more than 150 undisclosed turbine contracts, totaling nearly 7GW of capacity in 28 markets globally – with a main focus on Europe and the Americas.

Dropping turbine prices may be uncomfortable for manufacturers, but it is good news for project developers and it further improves the cost-competitiveness of wind energy compared with gas and coal. The main conclusions of the analysis are:

• Global turbine contracts signed in late 2010 for delivery in H1 2011 and H2 2011 display very aggressive pricing, with average values at  €0.98m/MW ($1.33m/MW). This is  a 7%  decrease compared to contracts signed in 2009 (€1.06m/MW) and 19% down from peak values in 2007-08 (€1.21m/MW).

• The decrease in the Wind Turbine Price Index is partly driven by a larger proportion of US based contracts compared to the previous issue of the Index (July 2010),  but pricing remains aggressive in all parts of the world.

• Low-priced power-purchase-agreements in markets with exposure to electricity prices – rather than fixed feed-in tariffs – seem to have put further pressure on turbine contracts: Italy, the UK and the US all display average pricing well below  €1m/MW for contracts signed in 2010  fordelivery in H2 2011. The US presents the lowest pricing of all markets so far with values averaging $1.27m/MW (€0.93/MW).

• All manufacturers covered by the survey have displayed aggressive pricing, including several contracts for  leading ("Tier 1") manufacturers – in some cases below  €0.90m/MW ($1.22m/MW).

• The cost of  electricity generated  from  wind  is now at record lows: several projects in high resource areas (US, Brazil, Sweden, Mexico) display a levelised  cost of energy – excluding the impact of subsidies but after  including  the cost of  capital and maintenance  – below EUR 50/MWh ($68/MWh). This compares to  current estimated average costs of $67 per MWh for coal-fired power and $56 per MWh for gas-fired power.

• Onshore turbine prices per MW of capacity are now for the first time lower than they were before the surge in steel and other commodity prices.  The levelised cost of wind power has been driven down not only by lower turbine costs, but also by higher yields per MW of capacity.

• Procurement officers for the developers in the survey expect prices to stabilise around current levels  for  2011 and 2012, with few further reductions in the near term. They expect gradual increases in pricing from 2012–13 as global demand recovers.

The Bloomberg New Energy Finance Wind Turbine Price Index includes the cost of  turbines, as well astransport to site (marine and overland) but excludes VAT, construction and connection costs.

Michael Liebreich, chief executive of Bloomberg New Energy Finance, commented: “The latest edition of our Wind Turbine Price Index shows wind continuing to become a competitive source of large-scale power. For the past few years, wind turbine costs went up due to rising demand around the world and the increasing price of steel. Behind the scenes wind manufacturers were reducing their costs, and now we are seeing just how cheap wind energy can be when overcapacity in the supply chain works its way through to developers."

The Bloomberg New Energy Finance Wind Turbine Price Index is based on confidential submissions by major purchasers of wind turbines. Participants receive a detailed report on price trends free of charge. The Index  is  updated biannually, and  Bloomberg New Energy Finance would welcome  additional participants. If your company has bought or sold wind turbines during 2008-11, and you would like to participate in the survey please email Eduardo Tabbush (etabbush@bloomberg.net).