Oil commentary [04/08/17]

News   •   Aug 04, 2017 10:28 +08

Caution seemed to be the catchword in oil markets overnight. Traders were unwilling to add substantial risk approaching the weekend, and both Brent and WTI spot contracts had a quiet session with both falling approximately 50 cents from the previous day. Having had such a strong run higher in the last two weeks, contradictory inventory data this week and apparent record high OPEC production seemed to have sapped the appetite for upside risk for now.

Oil most likely remains vulnerable to more sell side profit taking into the weekend as traders chose to lock in profits in a sideways market.

Brent spot trades at 51.75 this morning, just above its 200-day average at 51.425. It remains locked between its triple top at 52.70 and support in the 50.45/65 regions, its 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 100-day average.

WT spot trades at 48.90 this morning and its likewise ranging between major support and resistance. Resistance being the double top at 50.30 with support being in the 47.75/48.20 zone, containing its 50% retracement and the 100-day average.