Gold Commentary [20/10/17]

Gold has fallen 0.50% or some six dollars from its close in New York as Asia erases almost all of the gains it made yesterday. Gold is wilting as the U.S. dollar surges in Asia after the U.S. Senate adopted an FY18 budget resolution. It has seen Treasury yields edge higher pushing the dollar up across most currencies with the US Dollar Index higher by 0.40% in Asia. Along with the odds of the new Federal Reserve Chairmen shortening to make a more hawkish Jerome Powell the frontrunner, none of this is good news for gold.

Having closed at 1289.00 gold is now trading at 1283.50 with double top resistance at 1291.30 followed by the 1296.00 area. Significant support, however, is just below at 1276.00, a double bottom from Wednesday and Thursday and also the 100-day moving average. A break would open up further falls to the 1260.00 region and most likely a significant rush for the exit door by traders if it were to give way.

The key to the remainder of the session is whether the U.S. dollar gains and higher Treasury yields are sustained into Europe and New York. If the moves correct then gold may get a reprieve, if Europe continues to run with this baton, it could be a long day for bullish gold traders.