The dual-clutch transmission market has been forecast to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.36% through to 2016, driven by the rapidly increasing demand for double-clutch transmission systems in gasoline vehicles and the increasing adoption of dry double-clutch transmission systems.
Globally, the number of dual-clutch transmissions in the market is expected to more than double over the next five years to approximately 9 million units by 2017. In Europe, the rise in DCTs is expected to move from 2.5 million units in 2012 to 4.7 million units in 2017.
A dual-clutch transmission, (DCT) (sometimes referred to as a twin-clutch gearbox or double-clutch transmission), is a type of semi-automatic or automated manual automotive transmission. It uses two separate clutches for odd and even gear sets. It can fundamentally be described as two separate manual transmissions (with their respective clutches) contained within one housing, and working as one unit.
They are usually operated in a fully automatic mode, and many also have the ability to allow the driver to manually shift gears, albeit still carried out by the transmission's electro-hydraulics.
All over the world, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and suppliers of dual clutch transmission (DCT) technology are constantly innovating and improving technologies to adhere to stringent emission norms. Due to transmission technologies' ability to provide better efficiency and performance, stakeholders expect DCTs to play a defining role in the global transmission mix by 2020
Automatic transmissions are dominant in North America, while Europe and China have shown a marked preference for manual transmission. However, by 2020, Europe and China are expected to be the most attractive DCT markets. While European consumers have reacted positively to OEMs' promotion of DCTs, consumers in China are looking for next-generation technologies.
Therefore, a number of foreign OEMs in the country are introducing DCTs while others are partnering with suppliers to purchase and develop sophisticated DCTs. Furthermore, China and India are also expected to be attractive low-cost DCT markets by 2020.
Even though OEMs are actively incorporating DCT in their vehicles, the technology might not find eager acceptance across all regions, especially in cost-sensitive markets. Moreover, some regions are also set in their preference for certain types of transmission technologies.
Supplier-OEM partnerships are therefore critical for region-specific deployments of DCT. A number of suppliers are expected to offer entire transmission packages in the future, possibly in partnership with other market participants.
For more information on the dual-clutch transmission market, see the latest research: Dual-Clutch Transmission Market
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